This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected Sustainable Development Goals...

Nigeria’s potential to be a major player in the global economy due to its human and natural resource endowments remains unfulfilled, and the country has been declared the ‘poverty capital’ of the world. Using the International Futures model, this report presents Nigeria’s existing state...

Kenya's future offers a wealth of opportunities, as well as some significant challenges. The country is a continental leader in information and communications technology and has relatively well-developed health and education systems. Despite average incomes in the country being at the very low...

This report presents an integrated assessment of Ethiopia's future prospects using the International Futures modelling platform. The bulk of the report presents the likely development prospects of the country to 2040 along various measures such as poverty, healthcare and education, before...

This report explores Zimbabwe's prospects to 2040 under three scenarios. The Current Path presents Zimbabwe's development trajectory given a continuation of current policies and practices, while two alternative scenarios, Great Zimbabwe and Things Fall Apart, help frame the uncertainty around...

The spread of COVID-19 has been devastating for the millions of people who have been infected by the virus and lost their lives and the tens of millions of people who have lost their work and livelihoods. Governments and civil society have responded swiftly to the virus with policies that reduce...

This report uses the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system to analyze and provide an overview of Mozambique’s progress in a historical and regional context, show its expected trajectory across a number of core development sectors, and explore alternative futures through scenario...