Replaced with revised version of paper 07/20/10.

This paper measures the impact of year one of the Millennium Challenge Corporation’s Rural Business Development program for small rice farming households on the Pacific Coast of Nicaragua. The program was rolled out in the 2009-2010 agricultural year, which was the driest year on record in the...

There is much interest in weather index insurance as a poverty‐mitigating tool, but concerns persist about potential demand for the product among the poorest of the poor. This paper relates the experiences in rural areas of Tigray region, Ethiopia through both commercial sign‐up data and a...

This article extends the characteristics-based choice framework of technology adoption to account for decisions taken by boundedly-rational individuals in environments where traits are not fully observed. It is applied to an agricultural setting and introduces the concept of ambiguity in the...

GM corn seed companies have innovated continuously with the introduction of new traits and, more recently, with the creation of stacked varieties, which combine more than one trait. This work develops a Bayesian model of adoption dynamics that demonstrates how uncertainty with a package...

Genetically modified corn seed companies have innovated continuously with the introduction of new traits and, more recently, with the creation of stacked varieties. Thiswork develops a Bayesian model of adoption that demonstrates how uncertainty with a package technology can lead to a sequential...