This paper develops a new Bayesian approach to structural break modeling. The focuses of the approach are the modeling of in-sample structural breaks and forecasting time series allowing out-of-sample breaks. The model has several desirable features. First, the number of regimes is not fixed but...

Over coming decades, changes in population age structure will have profound implications for the macroeconomy, influencing economic growth, generational equity, human capital, saving and investment, and the sustainability of public and private transfer systems. How the future unfolds will depend...

We propose three hypotheses regarding the effects of individual investors' attention on stock returns according to special features of China's stock market. We adopt the Baidu index as the proxy for individual investors' attention to stocks. Empirical tests of the three hypotheses are based on...

A stock market is traditionally considered to shift between bull and bear markets, reflecting the states of high mean and low mean in stock returns, respectively. In this paper, we attempt to detect more different states in a stock market by applying a Bayesian Markov switching model, where the...

The three-point extension hypernetted chain-mean spherical theory of liquids is solved for a system formed by two charged plates immersed in a model unsymmetrical electrolyte. The charge on the plates is fixed as a function of the distance between the plates. The extent to which the local...

Purpose This study investigates the impact of supply chain governance (SCG, which includes relational governance and contractual governance) on supply chain resilience (SCR) using the information processing theory. Moreover, the study also examines the mediating role of information processing...