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We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774934
This article rejects the linkages in proposals that the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) target equity prices. The real federal funds rate (RFF) and stock prices (SP) are uncorrelated; causality tests show a positive effect of SP on RFF and a negative effect of SP on RFF. These results occur as part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153036
We study the correlation between pairs of bond and stock markets in Canada and the United States between January 1998 and December 2009 in the framework of diagonal-BEKK models. Our research question is whether monetary policy actions and communications by the Bank of Canada and the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112889
We study the correlation between pairs of bond and stock markets in Canada and the United States between January 1998 and December 2006 in the framework of Diagonal-BEKK models. Our research question is whether monetary policy action and communication by the Bank of Canada and the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409360
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock prices during narrow time windows centered around press releases by the FOMC. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and a network effect. We attribute 50 to 85 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770624
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
Conventional wisdom is that unconventional monetary policy a.k.a. Quantitative Easing (QE) pursued by the Federal Reserve has helped sustain and even boost U.S. stock market prices in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. By design, QE has supported long-term Treasury bond prices and put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016054
I study the pricing of American Depositary Receipts around FOMC meetings to identify the impact of US monetary policy on managed exchange rates. ADR investors assess the domestic central bank’s reluctance to maintain a currency peg regime if the costs of mimicking policy rate increases in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265914
I study the impact of US monetary policy on managed exchange rates by analyzing the pricing of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) around FOMC meetings. The significant negative impact of US monetary surprises on abnormal ADR returns for currencies that are managed reflects changes in these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898803
We examine how monetary policy of the Federal Reserve System, COVID-19 mortality cases, and vaccinations are associated with the US stock market volatility during the pandemic period. Using the wavelet coherence analysis, we first find that there is a positive relationship between the volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500407