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This paper presents a new stochastic volatility model which allows for persistent shifts in volatility of stock market … investigate economic (or market) sources of volatility shifts, without relying on exogenous information from the sample. In … effects of large return shocks on future levels of market volatility. The above properties of the model are shown based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107993
Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024262
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
shock driving future dividend variations. Equilibrium stock prices include a transitory "noise bubble" which can be … impulse response functions to noise shock and the bubble component of stock prices. Noise explains a large fraction of US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043876
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
volatility. The vector MEM relaxes the two restrictions often imposed by previous empirical work in market microstructure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009738886
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
impact on electricity price and volatility. In this paper, we employ a mixed-frequency vector autoregression (MF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191411
This paper contributes to an ongoing debate on volatility dynamics. We introduce a discrete-time fractional stochastic … volatility (FSV) model based on the fractional Gaussian noise. The new model has the same limit as the fractional integrated … stochastic volatility (FISV) model under the in-fill asymptotic scheme. We study the theoretical properties of both models and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251601