We introduce a novel dynamic portfolio choice method, focusing on robust out-of-sample performance rather than on optimal in-sample performance. We therefore devise a strategy that rigorously tackles the problem of estimation error. The method involves defining a discrete set of single-period...

This article presents a quadratic hedging framework for a general class of discrete-time affine multi-factor models and investigates the extent to which multi-component volatility factors, fat tails, and a non-monotonic pricing kernel can improve the hedging performance. A semi-explicit hedging...

We develop portfolio optimization problems to a non-life insurance company for finding the minimum capital required, which simultaneously satisfy solvency and portfolio performance constraints. Motivated by standard insurance regulations, we consider solvency capital requirements based on three...

Ethanol has been the subject of intense debate following the adoption of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct) which established that the gasoline supply in the United States (U.S.) must contain 10% ethanol. This work seeks to identify hedging ratios using dynamic multivariate GARCH to best...

The bottom-up route to portfolio diversification is clear: combining individual assets into a portfolio will lower portfolio risk. The top-down route of evaluating individual assets from the perspective of the diversified portfolio is widely applied in risk budgeting but neglected in return...

Using NCRIEF farmland and timberland smoothed indices over the period from 1992Q1 to 2012Q3 and a new de-smoothing approach offered by Fisher et al. (1994), we explore the mean-variance diversification features of farmland and timberland assets. Our empirical results show that diversification...

Should long-term investors account for time-variation in model parameters? We develop a time-varying Vector Autoregressive model that can handle time-variation in intercepts, slopes, volatility and correlation, the leverage effect in volatility and fat tails. Long-term investors should take...

We consider multiple regression (MR) model averaging using the Focused Information Criterion (FIC). Our approach is motivated by the problem of implementing a mean-variance portfolio choice rule. The usual approach is to estimate parameters ignoring the intention to use them in portfolio choice....

We propose a shrinkage estimator for parameters θ which improves the mean squared error of functions x (θ) over standard choices. When the restricted model estimator is in the class of minimum distance estimators, we project onto the restricted parameter space using a matrix based on the...

We consider a capital at risk (CaR) minimization problem in an incomplete market Black-Scholes setting. The optimization problem is studied, given the possibility that a correlation constraint between the wealth process and a financial index is imposed. The optimal portfolio is not unique and it...