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Local Projections (LP) is a popular methodology for the estimation of Impulse Responses (IR). Compared to the traditional VAR approach, LP allow for more flexible IR estimation by imposing weaker assumptions on the dynamics of the data. The nonparametric nature of LP comes at an efficiency cost...
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Impulse response analysis is typically conducted by fitting an autoregression model to a time series and calculating the moving average coefficients implied by the estimated autoregression model. If the autoregression specification is incorrect for the series, this approach may fail to capture...
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This paper introduces a flexible local projection that generalises the model by Jorda (2005) to a non-parametric setting using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Monte Carlo experiments show that our BART-LP model is able to capture non-linearities in the impulse responses. Our first...
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India's financial sector is not deeply integrated with the global financial system, which spared it the first round … morphed in to a full-blown global economic downturn, India could not escape the second round effects. The global crisis has … affected India through three distinct channels: financial markets, trade flows, and exchange rates. The reversal in capital …
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