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I suggest a characteristic-based covariance model that directly links the predetermined fi rm characteristics to time-varying covariance risk. Using a large cross section of individual stock-level data, I parsimoniously estimate both conditional expected returns and conditional covariances as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128431
Using the risk-neutral volatility and skewness computed from options on the S&P500, we show there is an asymmetric contemporaneous relation between stock returns and changes in implied market volatility and skewness. Changes in expected market volatility and skewness are cross-sectionally priced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136211
This paper examines the time-series predictability of aggregate stock returns in 20 emerging markets. In contrast to the aggregate-level findings in US, earnings yield forecasts the time-series of aggregate stock returns in emerging markets. We consider aggregate earnings not as normalizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115711
We investigate the pricing of systematic tail risk measured by tail beta in the Chinese equity market. Using an array of tests, we examine the performance of more than 3,300 stocks for the years 1999 through 2018. Contrary to evidence from developed markets, we demonstrate a strong negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890609
Despite considerable empirical evidence reporting a negative relationship between net share issuance and subsequent returns, it remains unresolved whether this anomaly is explained by risk or investor irrationality. This paper examines the net share issuance anomaly using seasoned equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865741
We present resiliency as a measure of liquidity, and assess its relationship to expected returns. We establish a covariance-based measure, RES, that captures opening period resiliency and, using it, find a significant non-resiliency premium that ranges from 33 to 57 basis points per month. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851808
This paper modelizes and provides asset pricing implications of corporate governance policies. Agency costs, proxied by commonly used corporate governance indices, arise because insiders are self-interested and vary across firms. First, firms differ in their agency costs’ level during initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236645
This article sheds light on the question of whether asset growth are a strong candidate for stock return prediction in emerging markets. We test for the firm level asset investment effects in stock return by examining the relationship between asset growth rates and subsequent stock returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032206
Hundreds of papers and hundreds of factors attempt to explain the cross-section of expected returns. Given this extensive data mining, it does not make any economic or statistical sense to use the usual significance criteria for a newly discovered factor, e.g., a t-ratio greater than 2.0....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035730
Assuming that risk premiums are determined by failure risk, we present a stylized model of interactions among risk-proxy variables, external financing, and stock returns in which a common mispricing factor, involving operating profit and external financing, drives the following five asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147129