This paper proposes a model to conduct macro stress test of credit risk for the banking sector based on scenario analysis. We employ an original bank-level data set that splits bank credit portfolios in 21 granular categories, covering household and corporate loans. The results corroborate the...

Generalized with the regime-dependent beliefs and regime-switching dynamics, the simple market-maker framework established by Day and Huang (1990) is capable to model all types of crises, that is, sudden crisis, disturbing crisis and smooth crisis, and to offer economic and dynamic...

We investigate whether the ECB aligns its monetary policy with financial crisis risk in EMU member countries. We find that since the outbreak of the subprime crisis the ECB has significantly increased net lending and reduced interest rates when banking and sovereign debt crisis risk in...

In this paper, we develop a structural model of consumption by incorporating psychological constructs which constitute important antecedents of household consumption and provide crucial structural linkages to the mental accounting evaluation of saving or consumption. Our model is tested using...

Just over a year ago, India's outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) seemed to be on a path of rapid and sustained growth. Its average annual growth of 98% between 2004 and 2007 was unprecedented, far ahead of that of other emerging markets like China (74%), Malaysia (70%), Russia (53%), and...

Economic and financial commentary on Brazil, Russia, India, and China (the ¡®BRIC' countries) generally focuses on these countries' accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, while their outward foreign direct investment (FDI) typically attracts less attention. While FDI from the BRIC...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether a credit crunch occurred in Germany during the recent financial crisis and to analyze the underlying factors. In order to disentangle credit supply and demand we specify a theory-based dynamic disequilibrium model of the German credit market....

The aim of this analysis is the assessment of productivity changes of banks performing in Poland in the years 1996−2007. The analysis comprises 27 biggest banks which performed their activities in the above mentioned period of time. The level of productivity was assessed by the means of...

We study the effects of securitization on renegotiation of distressed residential mortgages over the current financial crisis. Unlike prior studies, we employ unique data that directly observe lender renegotiation actions and cover more than 60% of the U.S. mortgage market. Exploiting...

We study the relative and absolute pricing of CMBX contracts (commercial real estate derivatives) during the recent financial crisis. Using a structural CMBX pricing model, we find little systematic mispricing relative to REIT equity and options. We do find short-term deviations from this...