This paper extends the machine learning methods developed in Han et al. (2019) for forecasting cross-sectional stock returns to a time-series context. The methods use the elastic net to refine the simple combination return forecast from Rapach et al. (2010). In a time-series application focused...

Oil and Gas industry is one of the renowned industries where prediction and forecasting of necessary oil statistics is important from both the productive and economic perspective. Artificial lift methods are being used to increase the production rate. Even if the natural pressure is appropriate...

Predictive modeling focuses on iteratively trying various combinations and transformations of a set of variables to generate a decision rule that predicts outcomes for new observations. Although accounting researchers have demonstrated interest in predictive modeling, we identify a lack of...

This paper shows the evolution of financial distress prediction models of the past four decades. Special attention is paid to linear discriminant analyses, logistic regression analyses and neural networks. Based on accounting data of 50 UK industrial firms, prediction models are estimated using...

Data driven companies effectively use regression machine learning methods for making predictions in many sectors. Cloud-based Azure Machine Learning Studio (MLS) has a potential of expediting machine learning experiments by offering a convenient and powerful integrated development environment....

We develop a framework to nowcast (and forecast) economic variables with machine learning techniques. We explain how machine learning methods can address common shortcomings of traditional OLS-based models and use several machine learning models to predict real output growth with lower forecast...

We employ forty-seven different algorithms to forecast Australian log real house prices and growth rates, and compare their ability to produce accurate out-of-sample predictions. The algorithms, which are specified in both single- and multi-equation frameworks, consist of traditional time-series...

In this study, we present an empirical comparison of statistical models and machine learning models for daily electricity price forecasting in the New Zealand electricity market. We demonstrate the effectiveness of GARCH and SV models and their t-distribution variants when paired with feature...

We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree-based methods (random forest, gradient boosting) and their regression-based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest, linear gradient boosting). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform...

Our study focuses on the Social Cost of Carbon in Relation to Climate Risk. Since information on the social cost of carbon and its effects on the climate is not easily accessible, we searched the internet for pertinent data sets. We have information on emissions from 470 oil and gas companies in...