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Uninsurable income risk is often cited as an explanation for empirical deviations from the Lifecycle/Permanent-Income … using a calibrated income process that matches the results in Feigenbaum and Li (2008). In that paper they measure income … uncertainty as the variance of income forecasting errors at different ages and over different time horizons. Here we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215361
disastrous income risk. We first empirically explore the relations among consumption changes, aggregate income, disaster shock … income risk to which the agent is exposed and her income recovery post disaster jointly affect the agent's optimal decisions …In this paper, we develop an analytically tractable dynamic model of optimal consumption and savings decisions with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350811
frictions render labor-market risk countercyclical and endogenous to monetary policy. Our main result is that a majority of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563007
the unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk free rate, equity … premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk free rate and price …-dividend ratio are pro-cyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034190
of individual default risk may facilitate risk-taking. In equilibrium, credit-constrained borrowers may optimally choose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936783
This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses …. We then estimate how income risk, measured by the variance and the skewness of the probability distribution of shocks to … the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996331
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higherorder risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … show that in a standard incomplete-markets life-cycle model, first, higher-order risk has sizable welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182809
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … show that in a standard incomplete-markets life-cycle model, first, higher-order risk has sizable welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
This paper analyses how increased offshoring impacts on labor income risk. It is therefore distinct from a large number … variability of incomes. It provides an assessment that directly connects labor income risk and offshoring trends in a panel …. Permanent income risk is defined as variance of shocks to income that do not fade out over time. Contrary to transitory short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009681406
This paper studies the nature of business cycle variation in individual earnings risk using a dataset from the U … cyclical nature of earnings risk is dramatically different for the top 1 percent compared with all other individuals -- even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035613