Using a dynamic factor model that allows for changes in both the long-run growth rate of output and the volatility of business cycles, we document a significant decline in long-run output growth in the United States. Our evidence supports the view that most of this slowdown occurred prior to the...

Spanish Abstract: Este documento de la División de Análisis Macroeconómico realiza un análisis del proceso de recuperación económica en Colombia después de las medidas de confinamiento implementadas desde marzo hasta agosto del 2020 para evitar una propagación masiva de la pandemia...

Spanish Abstract: Este documento de la División de Análisis Macroeconómico continúa analizando la respuesta de la economía colombiana a las condiciones de convivencia con la pandemia COVID-19 y a los choques presentados en el frente social con el Paro Nacional durante el segundo trimestre...

Spanish Abstract: Este documento de la División de Análisis Macroeconómico realiza un análisis del desempeño de la economía en 2020 después de las medidas de confinamiento implementadas desde marzo de 2020 hasta agosto para evitar una propagación masiva de la pandemia COVID-19 y la...

In the last few decades there has been little convergence of income levels in Latin America with those in the United States, in sharp contrast with both emerging Asia and emerging Europe. This paper argues that lack of convergence was not the result of low investment. Latin America is poorer...

Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...

We collect data on the size distribution of all U.S. corporate businesses for 100 years. We document that corporate concentration (e.g., asset share or sales share of the top 1%) has increased persistently over the past century. Rising concentration was stronger in manufacturing and mining...

The aim of this paper is to examine the goodness-of-fit of several aggregated production functions including the Cobb-Douglas function, the Mankiw, Romer and Weil model, or Mincer's specification for a set of 30 European countries during the period 2006-2015. The dependent variable was economic...

Based on satellite photos of night light from NASA and the U.S. Department of Defense, and using the methodology proposed by Henderson, Storeygard and Weil (2012), this paper measures the economic growth of the main 15 beach tourist areas in Mexico for the period from 1993 to 2017. This...

Part I The first part of the paper is devoted to the monetary indicators of social welfare. It is shown which methods of quantitative estimating the aggregate wealth and well-being are available in the modern economic theory apart from the traditional GDP measure. The limitations of the methods...