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Aim/purpose - The aim of this paper is to present two cases of crises in Greece and Italy and to evaluate the shadow exchange rates of hypothetical new currencies (re)introduced after Grexit and Italexit. Design/methodology/approach - Both shadow exchange rates are estimated using speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166669
and/or investment and savings behavior in Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187671
This article introduces a new indicator to measure redenomination risks in Euro area countries. The measure is based on survey data. The influence of this indicator in determining sovereign bond yield spreads is tested using an ARDL-approach. The results for ten EMU countries in the period June...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230969
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size of spillover effects of Germany's final demand on GDP, employment, and the trade balance in Southern European … countries. We find that spillover effects are rather small. Germany alone will hardly make a significant contribution to the … schätzen. Die Spillover-Effekte sind eher klein. Im Alleingang wird Deutschland keinen wesentlichen Beitrag zum externen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667875
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This article introduces a new indicator to measure redenomination risks in Euro area countries. The measure is based on survey data. The influence of this indicator in determining sovereign bond yield spreads is tested using an ARDL-approach. The results for ten EMU countries in the period June...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959757
The Eurosystem staff forecasts are conditional on the financial markets, the global economy and fiscal policy outlook, and include expert judgement. We develop a multi-country BVAR for the four largest countries of the euro area and we show that it provides accurate conditional forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975386