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investments decrease by 4.36% in parliamentary election years. Moreover, investment responses to electoral shocks differ markedly … resume in post-election years. The electoral effect results in a net loss in investment over the election cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868758
. Specifically, FDI inflows contract by 11 percentage points in the year before an election compared to non-election periods, or … find evidence that these cycles are not caused by economic crises related to elections or pre-election manipulation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860139
selectorate in specific instances of successful autocracy. We also show that, consistent with the theory, leadership turnover in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218461
We develop a dynamic model of political competition. Each party has a policymotivated ideological wing and an office-motivated opportunistic wing. A blockade arises if inner-party conflict stops policy implementation. We use this model to study whether early elections should be used to overcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796136
During the last decade unicameral proposals have been put forward in fourteen US states. In this paper we propose a theoretical framework casting some lights on the drawbacks of bicameral state legislatures and on the effects of the proposed constitutional reforms. In a setting where lawmakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850512
Random factors such as bad weather or exogenous economic shocks affect the re-election of politicians and can reduce … accountability. Such distorted election choices interact with the architecture of government. Contrasting centralized with … decentralized political systems, this study shows that centralization is likely to result in higher accountability if election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887189
This study analyzes the interaction between distorted election choices and the architecture of government with a focus …, it is shown that centralization is likely to result in higher accountability if election choices are subject to small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867965
We develop a dynamic model of political competition. Each party has a policymotivated ideological wing and an office-motivated opportunistic wing. A blockade arises if inner-party conflict stops policy implementation. We use this model to study whether early elections should be used to overcome...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935643
We study the efficient allocation of spending and taxation authority in a federation in which federal politicians are exposed to electoral uncertainty. We show that centralization may, but need not, result in a loss of electoral accountability. We identify an important asymmetry between positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965864
We examine the two-candidate equilibria of the citizen-candidate model when the implemented policy arises from a compromise between the government and an unelected external power. We show that the equilibria of this model differ significantly from the original: the distance between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571743