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the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the matrix of the cointegration relations, the degree of fractional … cointegration, the matrix of the speed of adjustment to the equilibrium parameters and the variance-covariance matrix of the error … consistent estimates and provide their asymptotic distributions. The cointegration matrix is asymptotically mixed normal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723159
We consider two likelihood ratio tests, so-called maximum eigenvalue and trace tests, for the null of no cointegration … when fractional cointegration is allowed under the alternative, which is a first step to generalize the so-called Johansen …'s procedure to the fractional cointegration case. The standard cointegration analysis only considers the assumption that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723169
We interpret the linear relations from exact rational expectations models as restrictions on the parameters of the statistical model called the cointegrated vector autoregressive model for non-stationary variables. We then show how reduced rank regression, Anderson (1951), plays an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723928
estimator whose limit distribution theory corresponds to the prototypical pure (i.e., exogenous covariate) cointegration case … econometric estimation and testing techniques in the cointegration literature to accommodate time variation and complications of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951789
presence of a near unit root. The test for a given cointegration vector can have rejection probabilities under the null, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957860
and the cointegration rank exactly in the same way as in the standard I(1) cointegration framework of Johansen (1995) and … and Velasco (for cointegration strength >0.5) and Avarucci and Velasco (for cointegration strength <0.5). Therefore our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907879
between regimes. This is a nonregular problem due to the presence of cointegration and nonlinearity. Second, we obtain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770891
A semiparametric bivariate fractionally cointegrated system is considered, integration orders possibly being unknown and I (0) unobservable inputs having nonparametric spectral density. Two kinds of estimate of the cointegrating parameter amp;#957; are considered, one involving inverse spectral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770904
Empirical evidence has emerged of the possibility of fractional cointegration such that the gap, amp;#946;, between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770905
Instrumental variables estimation is classically employed to avoid simultaneous equations bias in a stable environment. Here we use it to improve upon ordinary least squares estimation of cointegrating regressions between nonstationary and/or long memory stationary variables where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770906