We study how the output gap affects potential output over time-i.e., the dynamic hysteresis effect. To do so, we introduce novel unobserved components (UC) models that consider hysteresis as a sequence of lagged effects, thus separating the long-run recession-induced adverse effects from other...

We analyse the properties of the conventional Gaussian-based co-integrating rank tests of Johansen (1996) in the case where the vector of series under test is driven by globally stationary, conditionally heteroskedastic (martingale difference) innovations. We first demonstrate that the limiting...

This paper compares Taylor-style staggered price setting to partial adjustment of prices (or Calvo staggering) in a small optimizing IS/LM model. In contrast to the overwhelming perception in the literature, the models are not similar for most parameterizations. In particular, the dynamic...