Showing 1 - 10 of 787,406
Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper studies the optimal monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765348
Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper studies the optimal monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087550
We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991139
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
Using stochastic simulations and stability analysis, the paper compares how different monetary rules perform in a moderately nonlinear model with a time-varying nonaccelerating-inflation-rate-of-unemployment (NAIRU). Rules that perform well in linear models but implicitly embody backward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317691
-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded … term in the central bank's optimal instrument rule, which we refer to as the "credibility loss". Augmenting a standard … of seven central banks and that this influence is economically meaningful. A deteroriation in credibility forces central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009564263
. Second, the monetary policy response on the financial and sovereign debt crisis might trigger a decline in credibility, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114110
central bank with such discretion undermines the credibility of the price-level target and weakens its effectiveness to … stabilize the economy through expectations. The endogenous nature of credibility also brings novel results relative to models … with exogenous timing of target resets. A much higher degree of credibility is needed to realize the stabilization benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946949
investigates the driving factors of disagreement, paying special attention to the influence of monetary authorities' credibility …' credibility; this relationship is positive in the case of the growth rate of industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865624
does not satisfactorily examine key fiscal and monetary policy practices that arguably affect policymaking credibility … addenda, the results generally suggest that credibility proxies are largely sensitive to research design. However, some data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122385