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This paper explores the impact of the exchange rate regime on inflation and output in the Central and Eastern European … exchange rate stability have a better explanatory power than the de jure measures in the inflation and growth equations. For … the whole observation period the estimations reveal a significant impact of exchange rate stability on low inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402440
This paper provides an empirical investigation on the discrepancies between official exchange rate regimes and de facto exchange rate policies in transition economies. Since official and de facto regime choices are not independent of each other, we adopt a bivariate probit model to describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115338
implication of the model is a nonlinear relationship between the rate of inflation and the choice of regime for the next period … rate regime, followed by a gradual introduction of more flexibility as inflation subsides. A series of regressions on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317853
The IMF classifications of the Central and Eastern European exchange rate arrangements are heterogeneous. While one group of countries reports tight pegs to the euro, a second group seems to have moved toward (more) exchange rate flexibility. Based on the recent discussion about the accuracy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074713
If there is exchange market pressure (EMP), monetary authorities can use the interest rate and official interventions to offset this depreciation tendency, or they can let the exchange rate change. We introduce a new approach to derive how these three variables should be combined to measure EMP....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350376
common specification, and common estimation methods, we argue that the contradictory findings can be explained by the fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397221
After a long period of pegged, crawling or managed rates, Indonesia, Korea and Thailand have switched de jure to floating regimes after the 1997 Asian crisis. We focus on two issues: the volatility of exchange rates and the regime effect. Filters and GARCH type volatility models are applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139881
The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320946
We study the impact of the ECB's large scale asset purchase programme on selected euro area and neighbouring countries. The effects of the programme are assessed by conducting an event study as well as by estimating a structural VAR model using a shadow short rate as a measure of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740711