The first purpose of this paper is to assess the short-run forecasting capabilities of two competing financial duration models. The forecast performance of the Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial–Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACM-ACD) model is better than the Asymmetric...

Analyzing the stock return reaction for issuing and non-issuing US banks, we explore the systemic effects of seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) by systemically risky banks. We find that SEOs do not generate value benefits for systemically risky issuers. In contrast, non-issuers' stock returns...

In this research we advance a theory to explain the distributive politics under an institutionalized single-party regime. We argue that the need of support from below, and therefore the need of support-buying, varies with the degree of power concentration among the authoritarian leadership....

We examine the trading behavior of particularly intensive traders, those who contribute the most to daily trading volume, and provide new evidence that is consistent with the presence of informational advantages. Using a unique Chinese data set of the most active daily market participants for...

Motivated by the stylized fact that intraday returns can provide additional information on the tail behaviour of daily returns, we propose a functional autoregressive value-at-risk approach which can directly incorporate such informational advantage into the daily value-at-risk forecast. Our...