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A censored stochastic volatility model is developed to reconstruct a return series censored by price limits, one popular form of market stabilization mechanisms. When price limits are reached, the observed prices are truncated and the equilibrium prices are unobservable, which makes further...
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We develop in this article a data-analytic method to forecast the severity of next record insured loss to property caused by natural catastrophic events. The method requires and employs the knowledge of an expert and accounts for uncertainty in parameter estimation. Both considerations are...
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We investigate the magnet effect of price limits using transaction data from the Taiwan Stock Exchange. A logit model incorporates explanatory variables from microstructure literature and reveals that the conditional probability of a price increase (decrease) increases significantly when the...
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