GEORGE, THOMAS J.; HWANG, CHUAN-YANG - In: Journal of Finance 62 (2007) 6, pp. 2865-2896
Long-term reversals in U.S. stock returns are better explained as the rational reactions of investors to locked-in capital gains than an irrational overreaction to news. Predictors of returns based on the overreaction hypothesis have no power, while those that measure locked-in capital gains do,...