How do housing bubbles affect other economic sectors? We show that in the presence of collateral constraints, a bubble initially raises housing credit demand and crowds out credit to non-housing firms. If the bubble lasts, however, housing credit repayments raise banks' net worth and expand...

This paper tests the opportunity-cost theory on the long-run effects of business cycles using a panel of Spanish firms during the period 1991--2010. Under this theory, the <italic>share</italic> of productivity-enhancing activities (PEAs), such as R&D investment or on-the-job training, relative to production...

This article discusses the likelihood-based estimation of panel data models with individual-specific effects and both lagged dependent variable regressors and additional predetermined explanatory variables. The resulting new estimator, labeled as subsystem limited information maximum likelihood...

In this article, we aim to identify the main determinants of corporate default by considering Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) techniques. Our empirical findings suggest that the most robust determinants of firm default are firm-specific variables such as the ratio of working capital to total...

Fiscal consolidations are currently in the agenda of fiscal authorities in many countries. Using Bayesian Model Averaging to overcome the problem of model uncertainty, we find that growth-enhancing policies and cuts in public wages are the most appropriate ingredients for successfully reducing...

For reasons of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explictly modeled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous...