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macroeconomic uncertainty. We use the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) econometric approach. The findings are in accordance with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025703
We investigate long-run stock-bond correlation using a model that combines the dynamic conditional correlation model with the mixed-data sampling approach and allows long-run correlation to be affected by macro-finance factors (historical and forecasts). We use macro-finance factors related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033824
We propose a new approach to the definition of stress scenarios for volatilities and correlations. Correlations and volatilities depend on a common market factor, which is the key to stressing them in a consistent and intuitive way. Our approach is based on a new asset price model where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119591
We propose a new approach to the definition of stress scenarios for volatilities and correlations. Correlations and volatilities depend on a common market factor, which is the key to stressing them in a consistent and intuitive way. Our approach is based on a new asset price model where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120459
The influence of past stock price movements on volatilities and correlations is essential for understanding diversification and contagion in financial markets. We develop a model that makes the influence of past returns on volatilities and correlations explicit. Employing information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101094
We develop a new variational Bayes estimation method for large-dimensional sparse vector autoregressive models with exogenous predictors. Unlike existing Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational Bayes (VB) algorithms, our approach is not based on a structural form representation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239660
Using filtering techniques, spectral analysis, and Markov chain models, I document trends and cycles of factors have significantly changed over the period to December 2000 compared to the period post-January 2001. The recent weaker performance of value in the 21st century, including the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235758
This paper examines the trading performances of several technical oscillators created using crypto assets pricing methods for short-term bitcoin trading. Seven pricing models proposed in the professional and academic literature were transformed into oscillators, and two thresholds were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235940
This study investigated how stock market volatility responded dynamically to unexpected changes during the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting uncertainty in Thailand. Using a multivariate GARCH-BEKK model, the conditional volatility dynamics, the interlinkages, and the conditional correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284290
This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time-frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) framework. The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate stock risk-profile robustness. Furthermore, we emphasize the effect of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289044