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This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation … forecasts of inflation) but also makes forecasters less uncertain about their own beliefs, thus reducing ex-ante average … individual uncertainty. By combining and exploiting these types of ex-ante inflation uncertainty, results suggest that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603073
losses for the ECB and try to assess inflation dangers stemming from the 3Y LTROs. In the same section, we also look at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255141
, effective revenue ceilings induce an increase in deficit, debt and inflation. Under many scenarios, including recurrent adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327545
mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305860
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959260
This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area …, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings … are: i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the estimated degree of inflation persistence in the euro area is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622329
volume, an early exit, and a faster exit from the program on output and inflation in the euro area. Model simulations showed … that economic growth and inflation rates would decrease in all three scenarios. However, the effects of the scenario with … particular, an early exit from the program should significantly affect inflation rates, an effect that the European Central Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750746
inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area. It is part of a broader project coordinated by Bernanke and Blanchard to … provide a unified framework for analysing and comparing global inflation dynamics across the major world economic areas … conducts an empirical assessment of how euro area price inflation responds to various exogenous shocks. This includes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480036