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The process of economic forecasting is usually misunderstood and often maligned by the public at large …
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to do something about it, and find a forecast process which produced results which actually aided insight and were … genuinely useful - in contrast to many forecast exercises which seem to be driven by political or `messaging' considerations and …
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Forecasting approaches are used to predict future values of certain variables such as market demands, prices, supplies … estimate its value with some level of precision using a proper forecasting method …
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"forecast," "prediction," "projections," and "prognosis" are interchangeable as commonly used. Forecasting is also concerned …The field of forecasting is concerned with making statements about matters that are currently unknown. The terms …
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Forecasting procedures are needed only if there is uncertainty about the future. Forecasts are unnecessary when one can … control events. For example, predicting the temperature in your home does not require the use of forecasting procedures … because you can control it. A forecast that the sun will rise tomorrow is of little value. Many decisions, however, involve …
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Economic policies are generally formulated on the basis of data available in real time, which might subsequently be revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be...
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