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This article mainly studies the crude oil volatility index (OVX) forecasting from the perspective of the cross …
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and acrisis state with high volatility and positive variance risk premium. The estimated states are consistent with GDP …In this paper we propose a stochastic volatility model for crude oil markets that has the particularity to feature a … regime-switching price of variance-risk. While preserving tractability, this model allows us to capture the episodes of …
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