In this paper, we investigate a test for structural change in the long-run persistence in a univariate time series. Our model has a unit root with no structural change under the null hypothesis, while under the alternative it changes from a unit-root process to a stationary one or vice versa. We...

In this study, we consider a four-regime bubble model under the assumption of time-varying volatility and propose the algorithm of estimating the break dates with volatility correction: First, we estimate the emerging date of the explosive bubble, its collapsing date, and the recovering date to...

In this paper, we propose a new approach to test the hypothesis of long-run Granger non-causality in cointegrated systems. We circumvent the problem of singularity of the variance-covariance matrix associated with the usual Wald type test by proposing a generalized inverse procedure, and an...

In this paper, Mallows'(1973) Cp criterion, Akaike's (1973) AIC, Hurvich and Tsai's (1989) corrected AIC and the BIC of Akaike (1978) and Schwarz (1978) are derived for the leads-and-lags cointegrating regression. Deriving model selection criteria for the leads-and-lags regression is a...

This paper examines a point optimal invariant (POI) test for the null hypothesis of cointegration. Our test is different from Jansson's (2005) test in that we consider location invariance in wider directions and that we assume an unknown variance-covariance matrix for the error term, while it is...

This paper proposes a test of the rank of the sub-matrix of b, where b is a cointegrating matrix. In addition, the sub-matrix of d, an orthogonal complement to b, is investigated. We show that information on the rank of the sub-matrix of b and/or d is useful in several situations. We construct...

In this paper, we propose a new approach to test the hypothesis of long-run Granger non-causality in cointegrated systems. We circumvent the problem of singularity of the variance-covariance matrix associated with the usual Wald type test by proposing a generalized inverse procedure, and an...