We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death … causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain … risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm …

Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable … should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models …-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction accuracy-is often based on the logarithmic scale of the mortality …

annuity data from the United Kingdom, the risk premium charged for aggregate mortality risk seems to be very large relative to … within annuity books. In particular, the joint impact of mortality risks and investment risks as well as their respective …