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In 2015, the 21st Conference of the Parties reaffirmed the target of keeping the global mean temperature rise below 2 °C or 1.5 °C by 2100 while finding no consensus on how to decarbonize the global economy. In this regard, the speed of decarbonization reflects the (in)flexibility of...
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to climate change. Rather than focusing on uncertainty explicitly, we look at extreme scenarios defined by the upper and …
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the resulting warming over the next decades and centuries highly uncertain. We quantify how this uncertainty changes the … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …
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