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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
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leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that … volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate …We propose a methodology to include night volatility estimates in the day volatility modeling problem with high …
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We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete … series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades … intraday volatility shows that the dynamic modified Skellam model provides accurate forecasts compared to alternative modeling …
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