The main task of this paper is to determine accuracy of some of widely used technical analysis techniques for MBI-10 stocks price forecast at MSE. We are testing accuracy of several technical analysis techniques: MACD (Moving-Average Convergence/Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index),...

The work of Haugen and Baker (1991) and Grinold (1992) has shown that market capitalisation-weighted indices are not mean-variance efficient. Further research by Amenc, Goltz, and Le Sourd (2006) proves that even naïve equal weighting can offer a better risk to return trade-off to investors in...

The present study explores the effect of the gambler's fallacy on stock trading volumes. I hypothesize that if a stock's price rises (falls) during a number of consecutive trading days, then the gambler's fallacy may cause at least some of the investors to expect that the stock's price 'has' to...

This study examines the market-timing performance of Chinese equity securities investment funds during the period from May 2003 to May 2014 using the parametric tests of Treynor-Mazuy and Henriksson-Merton as well as the Jiang non-parametric test. Based on the non-parametric approach, the study...

We analyze a novel alpha momentum strategy that invests in stocks based on three-factor alphas which we estimate using daily returns. The empirical analysis for the U.S. and for Europe shows that (i) past alpha has power in predicting the cross-section of stock returns; (ii) alpha momentum...

This paper investigates the risk-return relations in Chinese equity markets. Based on a TARCH-M model, evidence shows that stock returns are positively correlated with predictable volatility, supporting the risk-return relation in both aggregate and sectoral markets. Evidence finds a positive...

The paper empirically investigates three different methods to construct factors and identifies some pitfalls that arise in the application of Fama-French's three-factor model to the Pakistani stock returns. We find that the special features in Pakistan significantly affect size and value factors...

This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...

This paper proposes a novel test of zero pricing errors for the linear factor pricing model when the number of securities, N, can be large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. The test is based on Student t tests of individual securities and has a number of advantages over...

Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...