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uncertainty are closely related. However, this association is much stronger when the second layer of uncertainty is subjective … probabilities, and (3) are ambiguity non-neutral. By decomposing ambiguity into risk and model uncertainty, and jointly eliciting … the attitudes individuals manifest towards these two types of uncertainty, we characterize individuals' degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457763
expected utility theory. First, Ellsberg performed no actual experiments, and in fact recent empirical evidence on the Ellsberg … expected utility theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129111
theory such as the common ratio effect and the violations of the betweenness. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724658
probability). Their stronger axiom, however, embodies a degree of separability analogous to P2. In this note, we obtain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776311
This paper introduces a model of decision making under ambiguity by extending the Bayesian approach to uncertain probabilities. In this model, preferences for ambiguity pertain directly to probabilities such that attitude toward ambiguity is defined as attitude toward mean-preserving spreads in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857316
uncertainty. We find a predominance of non-degenerate probability intervals among subjects for all explored sources, with … paper develops a solution, comprising a preference-based identification of a subject’s probability interval for an event …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041160
This paper uses laboratory experiments to study subjects' assessment of uncertainty resulting from strategic and non … probabilities and examine if they satisfy the law of probability including monotonicity and additivity. Violations from the law are … observed for both uncertainty sources, but are more substantial for strategic uncertainty. In particular, we observe a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234782
Anscombe and Aumann (1963) offer a definition of subjective probability in terms of comparisons with objective … probabilities. That definition - which has provided the basis for much of the succeeding work on subjective probability - presumes … that the subjective probability of an event is independent of the prize consequences of that event, a property we term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259255
expected utility theory, assuming instead weaker axioms that merely imply that they are probabilistically sophisticated. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739658
Anscombe and Aumann (1963) offer a definition of subjective probability in terms of comparisons with objective … probabilities. That definition - which has provided the basis for much of the succeeding work on subjective probability - presumes … that the subjective probability of an event is independent of the prize consequences of that event, a property we term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264885