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-known success-probability criterion adapted to settings characterized by model uncertainty. We apply this decision criterion to … takes explicit account of model uncertainty. To this end, the value function we propose is an analogue of the well … probability distributions constructed by Drouet et al. (2015) linking carbon budgets to future consumption. The main result that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959549
. Especially the condition of arbitrage for sub-hedging strategy fills the gap of the theory of arbitrage under model uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987227
Experiments on intertemporal consumption typically show that people have difficulties in optimally solving such problems. Previous studies have focused on contexts in which agents are faced with risky future incomes and have to plan over long horizons. We present an experiment comparing decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033292
This paper extends Harsanyi's Impartial Observer Theorem by introducing Knightian Uncertainty in the form of individual … belief systems. It features an axiomatic framework of societal decision-making in the presence of individual uncertainty. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948325
attention to the information gap. To the extent that the uncertainty (or other circumstances) makes the information gap … for source preference regarding uncertainty, the comparative ignorance effect under conditions of ambiguity, aversion to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022819
The scientific category of uncertainty refers to that group of terms, an interpretation of which is not unambiguous and … uncertainty. This research is an attempt to solve the issue of estimating the interval uncertainty based on methods of a logical … following a given function. In the course of the research, there has been introduced a concept of the tenversion uncertainty for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048281
This study identifies a severe gap between the financial backlash borrowers believe awaits them after strategic mortgage default and the reality that lenders rarely pursue deficiency judgments. This, coupled with the social norm finding that borrowers widely view strategic default as immoral,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051040
rise to uncertainty in the determination of the default probability. We show how this uncertainty can affect the estimation … introduce a model to compute the individual and systemic probability of default in a system of banks connected in a generic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999842
We argue that the uncertainty over the impact of macroprudential policy need not make a policymaker more cautious. Our … starting point is the classic result of Brainard (1967) which finds that uncertainty over the impact of a policy instrument … risk, potential asymmetries in policy objectives, the ability to learn from policy actions, and private sector uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999871
Previous studies focused on the comparison of the optimal output levels of regret- averse firms under uncertainty and … firms under certainty. This paper extends the theory by further investigating the effects of regret-aversion on production …. We compare the optimal output levels of regret-averse firms with purely risk- averse firms under uncertainty and firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268101