There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...

What is the role of large playersʺ like hedge funds and other highly leveraged institutions in speculative attacks? In recent theoretical work, large players may induce an attack by an early move, providing information to smaller agents. In contrast, many observers argue that large players are...

A test of speculative efficiency on the foreign exchange markets of Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary and the Slovak republic was unable to identify a cointegration relationship between forward and spot rates against the euro for the period between 1999 and mid-2002. Econometric studies...

Im Rahmen eines Tests der spekulativen Effizienz auf den Devisenmärkten Polens, der Tschechischen Repubik, Ungarns und der Slowakei kann für den Beobachtungszeitraum von 1999 bis Mitte 2002 keine Kointegrationsbeziehung zwischen Termin- und Kassakursen gegenüber dem Euro nachgewiesen werden....