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This chapter describes tools and a methodology to model wind and flood risks from tropical storms under present and future climate accounting for natural infrastructure. Wind forcing provide a crucial link to hydrodynamic models that can be used in risk assessments to estimate extent of and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014457899
Asia and the Pacific? This paper considers three main disaster risk factors - rising population exposure, greater …. In a regression analysis within a model of disaster risk determination, the most significant association is between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781147
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015689
to establish the social value of improving hurricane forecasts. On the margin, the value of hurricane information is …Hurricanes are among the costliest natural disasters in the world, with a significant portion of their impact linked to … the accuracy of their forecasts. In this paper, we estimate the economic impacts of the official hurricane forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470308
Literature on climate change and extreme events has found conflicting and often weak results on the evolution of economic damages related to natural disasters, although climate change is likely to bring about an increase in their magnitude (Van Aalst, 2006; IPCC, 2007, 2012). These studies usually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894267
disaster impact model with a general equilibrium model of the economy. We apply the methodology to study the effects of … post-disaster recovery after a single shock can take several decades, with notable cumulative negative effects for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251945
disasters affect bank stability and their ability to lend. Despite the devastation wrought by two category 5 hurricanes in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440762
The standard approach to 'nowcast' disaster impacts, which relies on risk models, does not typically account for the … nowcasting, and for post-disaster damage assessment. We focus on Fiji and on its agriculture sector, and on tropical cyclones … be used for both nowcasting and post-disaster damage assessments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013533176
5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential … forecasts than those from NOAA. Improvements to hurricane forecasts could have economically significant effects in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
the disaster. The response to hurricanes does not seem to be driven by logrolling behavior or lobbysts' pressure. The …This paper studies how politicians and voters respond to new information on the threats of climate change. Using data … on the universe of federal disaster declarations between 1989 and 2014, we document that congress members from districts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006068