We study fairness in tontines with heterogeneous cohorts, distinguishing between collective and individual fairness. For a given tontine, we show that collective fairness is always achievable and that it widely implies individual fairness. Furthermore, we study a utilitarian social planner...

We study aggregate lapsation risk in the life insurance sector. We construct two lapsation risk factors that explain a large fraction of the common variation in lapse rates of the 30 largest life insurance companies. The first is a cyclical factor that is positively correlated with credit...

We provide novel evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate conflict. Droughts are a major driver of conflict in Africa, particularly between nomadic pastoralists and sedentary farmers, and climate change is predicted to intensify this...

We provide novel evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate conflict. Droughts are a major driver of conflict in Africa, particularly between nomadic pastoralists and sedentary farmers, and climate change is predicted to intensify this...

Life insurers sell savings contracts with surrender options, which allow policyholders to prematurely receive guaranteed surrender values. These surrender options move toward the money when interest rates rise. Hence, higher interest rates raise surrender rates, as we document empirically by...

Effective agricultural insurance and risk management program rely on accurate crop yield forecasting. In this paper, we propose a novel deep factor model for crop yield forecasting and crop insurance ratemaking. This framework first utilizes a deep autoencoder to extract a latent factor, called...

Life insurers sell savings contracts with surrender options, which allow policyholders to prematurely receive guaranteed surrender values. These surrender options move toward the money when interest rates rise. Hence, higher interest rates raise surrender rates, as we document empirically by...

Long-term fixed-rate mortgage contracts protect households against interest rate risk, yet most countries have relatively short interest rate fixation lengths. Using administrative data from the UK, the paper finds that the choice of fixation length tracks the life-cycle decline of credit risk...

This report analyzes the difference between mergers and acquisitions (M&As) of target insurers in the US life and non-life insurance sectors. We first document M&A transactions in the US insurance market between 1990 and 2022 and select the M&A transactions related to US target insurers. We then...