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expeditious response times. In out-of-sample forecasting, the Qual VAR outperforms a probit model. Improved forecasting …
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forecasting solutions. In this context, the paper develops new forecasting methods for an old problem by employing 13 machine …
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The main contribution of this paper is the construction of a cyclical systemic risk indicator from early warning indicators of banking crises (EWIs) used in Finland. Previous research has shown that combining EWIs can enhance their early warning properties. This study evaluates the indicator's...
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