We evaluated the ability of futures market participants’ hedging decisions to predict changes in cryptocurrency returns based on its influence on risk aversion via the risk premium channel. We document that the hedging factor has a significant effect on measures of risk aversion and financial...

A key challenge for monetary policymakers is predicting the path of short-term inflation given the persistently flat Phillips curve of the last few years. A promising innovation involves modifying the hybrid-New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) to include an interaction variable, reflecting the...