Sun, Zheng; Wang, Ashley W.; Lu, Zheng - 2016 - This draft: March 2016
We provide novel evidence that hedge fund performance is persistent following weak hedge fund markets, but is not … persistent following strong markets. Specifically, we construct two performance measures, DownsideReturns and UpsideReturns … not outperform subsequently. The DownsideReturns can predict future fund performance over a horizon as long as 3 years …