This article shows that aggregate analyst recommendations predict future aggregate excess returns at MSA and state level (i.e. local level). The results hold even after controlling for macroeconomic variables, industry and market returns, as well as investor sentiment. We also show that the...

I utilize the recursive partitioning method to extract analysts' weight of forecasts assigned in their stock recommendation decisions. My findings suggest that in addition to analysts' earnings forecasts, the non-earnings forecasts, such as sales forecasts and net income forecasts, also play an...