revisional property of the NAIRU is also examined, as well as the forecast capacity of the unemployment gap with regard to wages … perspective, because the vast majority of estimates in the literature use wages to provide an estimate of the unemployment gap …. Therefore, an indicator which does not use wages at all to estimate the unemployment gap performs the best in forecasting wage …

education shows positive effects for the unemployed with respect to both the employment probability and wages. To explain the …

employment and wages in the United States. Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we document that COVID-19 increased the unemployment … their labor market outcomes affected, while workers working in proximity to coworkers are more affected. The unemployment …, these policies increased unemployment by nearly 4 percentage points, but reduced COVID-19 cases by 186,600-311,000, and …