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Chinese supply chain shocks
Khalil, Makram; Weber, Marc-Daniel - 2022
of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020, the results pointed towards large spillovers from the shutdown in China to … related to the shift of preferences towards goods with a large China valued-added content played a relevant role …. Interestingly, the impact of Chinese supply chain shocks is not limited to manufacturing sectors that are highly exposed to China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465051
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Tracking global economic uncertainty : implications for the euro area
Bobasu, Alina; Geis, André; Quaglietti, Lucia; Ricci, … - 2021
area economic activity, with one standard deviation increase in the identified uncertainty shock subtracting around 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
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Chinese Supply Chain Shocks
Khalil, Makram; Weber, Marc-Daniel - 2023
of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020, the results pointed towards large spillovers from the shutdown in China to … related to the shift of preferences towards goods with a large China valued-added content played a relevant role …. Interestingly, the impact of Chinese supply chain shocks is not limited to manufacturing sectors that are highly exposed to China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263117
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Container trade and the U.S. recovery
Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021 - This version: October 13, 2021
Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661967
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Tracking Global Economic Uncertainty : Implications for the Euro Area
Bobasu, Alina; Geis, André; Quaglietti, Lucia; Ricci, … - 2021
area economic activity, with one standard deviation increase in the identified uncertainty shock subtracting around 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231373
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Transmission of global financial shocks : which capital flows matter?
Han, Bada - 2022
In this paper, I study channels through which risk-appetite shocks to global investors, i.e., global financial shocks, are transmitted to emerging market economies(EMEs). I focus on how transmission channels have changed as EMEs have become able to borrow abroad in the form of equity and local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013197879
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Bank Balance Sheets and External Shocks in Asia : The Role of Fxi, Mpms and Cfms
Chen, Zefeng; Nadeem, Sanaa; Peiris, Shanaka - 2021
by banks and investment. For example, a capital outflow shock leads to a deprecation that reduces the net worth and … intermediation capacity of banks exposed to foreign currency liabilities. In such cases, the exchange rate acts as shock amplifier … exchange rate serves as a shock absorber, and any FXI that weakens that function can be costly. We also explore the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243072
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Dissecting Trade and Business Cycle Co-movement
Ko, Paul - 2020
Business cycles appear highly synchronized across countries. To understand this empirical phenomenon, I develop a multi-country international real business cycle model with international trade that offers several potential explanations: shocks to TFP, demand, leisure, investment, economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840130
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Causal effects of countercyclical interest rates : evidence from the classical gold standard
Mitchener, Kris; Pina, Gonçalo - 2022
We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short-term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183777
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Has the Euro changed the business cycle?
Enders, Zeno; Jung, Philip; Müller, Gernot J. - 2009
In this paper we analyze European business cycles before and under EMU. Across the two periods we find 1) a significant decline in real exchange rate volatility, 2) significant changes in cross-country correlations, and 3) the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals largely unchanged. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850663