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predictive variable. On data from 18 OECD countries we generally find return predictability in accordance with time-varying risk …We conduct a comprehensive international study of predictability in housing markets using the rent-price ratio as a …
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The U. S. market for homes appears not to be efficient. A number of information variables predict housing price changes and excess returns of housing relative to debt over the succeeding year. Price changes observed over one year tend to continue for one more year in the same direction....
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This paper investigates the risk-return relationship in determination of housing asset pricing. In so doing, the paper … by examining the impact of additional risk factors including aggregate stock market returns, idiosyncratic risk, momentum … measures of risk and other housing market fundamentals. Additional tests of the validity of the model using the Fama …
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homeowners are compensated for bearing housing risk. Our sample covers more than 9,000 zip codes across 135 metropolitan … investment good properties with significant heterogeneity across MSAs in terms of which risk factors are priced. Local and …
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