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Underlying idiosyncratic and illiquidity risks are suppressed in infrequently reported indexes of house prices and rents. Idiosyncratic risks result from bid-ask spreads for prices and rents. Time series autocovariances generate a distribution of prices and rents. Capital gains and rent-price...
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out-of-sample predictor for the dollar up to twelve quarters. Housing construction is negatively associated with risk … nontradable housing consumption. The predictability for excess returns in foreign currencies and other assets arises endogenously …. The currency predictability is robust to a host of additional checks and holds for other G10 currencies …
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