We measure immigrant narratives in German newspapers and assign each sentence to one of seven themes. Using natural language processing (NLP) tools and customized dictionaries, we analyze over 100,000 articles. 45 percent of narratives are on Foreign Religion, 23 percent on Cultural Integration,...

We measure immigrant narratives in German newspapers and assign each sentence to one of seven themes. Using natural language processing (NLP) tools and customized dictionaries, we analyze over 100,000 articles. 45 percent of narratives are on Foreign Religion, 23 percent on Cultural Integration,...

Immigration is one of the most divisive political issues in many countries today. Competing narratives, circulated via the media, are crucial in shaping how immigrants' role in society is perceived. We propose a new method combining advanced natural language processing tools with dictionaries to...

What is the causal effect of conflict on refugees' return and integration? To answer this question, we launched a panel survey of Ukrainian refugees across Europe in June 2022 and combined it with geocoded conflict data. Most refugees plan to return, and initial return intentions strongly...

We exploit the unique design of a repeated survey experiment among students in four countries to explore the stability of risk preferences in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Relative to a baseline before the pandemic, we find that self-assessed willingness to take risks decreased while the...

How does mobile internet access affect the desire to emigrate and migration plans? To answer this question, we combine survey data on more than 600,000 individuals from 110 countries with data on worldwide 3G mobile internet rollout. We show that an increase in mobile internet access increases...

We exploit the unique design of a repeated survey experiment among students in four countries to explore the stability of risk preferences in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Relative to a baseline before the pandemic, we find that self-assessed willingness to take risks decreased while the...

Garry Poluschkin und Robert Kirchner, German Economic Team, gehen davon aus, dass der Wiederaufbau der Ukraine eine langfristige multilaterale Herausforderung sein wird, bei der insbesondere die EU eine hervorgehobene Rolle einnehmen wird. Gleichzeitig dürfe die Diskussion der...

Ukraine has a long history of emigration and a large diaspora in high-income countries.This diaspora has supported democratic and economic development before and during the war. Remittances corresponded to 7 percent of Ukraine's GDP in 2021. Return migration will be an essential factor for the...

Der demografische Wandel stellt Bayern in den nächsten Jahrzehnten vor große Herausforderungen. Ohne Zuwanderung würde die Bevölkerung in Bayern bis 2040 um 5 % abnehmen. Um das Wirtschaftswachstum in Bayern aufrechtzuerhalten, ist eine umfangreiche Zuwanderung erforderlich. Deutschland...