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The aim of this paper is to provide equilibrium exchange rates values for a large set of currencies and to study the adjustment process of observed exchange rates towards these levels by paying a special attention to emerging Asian countries. Relying on panel smooth transition regression models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497811
We study the nonlinear dynamics of the real exchange rate towards its behavioral equilibrium value (BEER) using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model framework. We show that the real exchange rate convergence process in the long-run is characterized by nonlinearities for emerging economies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008473675
We study the impact of the global financial crisis on the equilibrium exchange rate of the US dollar. We first simulate the impact of the crisis on the US net foreign asset position. Then, we calculate the equilibrium value of the dollar according both to a BEER and to a FEER approach. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008521721
The aim of this paper is to investigate the links between oil prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables for a large set of countries, including both oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. Both short-run and long-run interactions are analysed through the implementation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971931
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10007635746
This paper is concerned with the robustness of equilibrium exchange rate estimations based on the BEER approach for a set of both industrial and emerging countries. The robustness is studied in four directions, successively. First, we investigate the impact of using alternative proxies for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062869
We study the nonlinear dynamics of the real exchange rate towards its behavioral equilibrium value (BEER) using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model framework.We show that the real exchange rate convergence process in the long run is characterized by nonlinearities for emerging economies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062875
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062893
The purpose of this paper is to perform predictions of foreign exchange rates series by taking into account their long-term memory property. To this end, this paper proposes the use of ARFIMA processes in order to make predictions of three exchange rate series: $/Canadian $, $/French Franc and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005066135
The standard macroeconomic view links the equilibrium level of foreign exchange rates to the state of the macroeconomic fundamentals. Any deviation from the equilibrium level is viewed as temporary since there are forces ensuring quickly mean-reverting dynamics. The aim of this article is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005403423