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Decoupling Global Value Chains
Eppinger, Peter; Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; Krebs, Oliver; … - 2021
Recent disruptions to global value chains (GVCs) have raised an important question: Can decoupling from GVCs increase a country’s welfare by reducing its exposure to foreign supply shocks? We use a quantitative trade model to simulate GVCs decoupling, defined as increased barriers to global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227605
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The aftermath of debt surges
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Reinhart, Carmen M.; … - 2021
, fiscal consolidation, privatization, and wealth taxation) and heterodox options (inflation, financial repression, debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655299
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Container trade and the U.S. recovery
Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021 - This version: October 13, 2021
Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661967
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Container trade and the U.S. recovery
Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021
Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550202
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The aftermath of debt surges
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Reinhart, Carmen M.; … - 2021
, fiscal consolidation, privatization, and wealth taxation) and heterodox options (inflation, financial repression, debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373848
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Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019 : cyclical and structural drivers
Koester, Gerrit; Lis, Eliza Magdalena; Nickel, Christiane; … - 2021
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650860
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Understanding Low Inflation in the Euro Area from 2013 to 2019 : Cyclical and Structural Drivers
Koester, Gerrit; Lis, Eliza; Nickel, Christiane; Osbat, … - 2021
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210844
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Here Comes the Change : The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe
Binici, Mahir; Centorrino, Samuele; Cevik, Serhan; … - 2022
Global inflation has surged to 7.5 percent in August 2022, from an average of 2.1 percent in the decade preceding the … factors to the post-pandemic rise in consumer price inflation, using monthly data and a battery of econometric methodologies … inflation dynamics throughout Europe, country-specific factors, including monetary and fiscal policy responses to the crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264538
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Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery
Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021
Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599241
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Container trade and the U.S. recovery
Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021
Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669295