This paper explores the relationship between inflation and the existence of a publicly-traded, long-maturity, nominal, domestic-currency bond market. Bond holders suffer from inflation and could be a potent anti-inflationary force; I ask whether their presence is apparent empirically. I use a...

We discuss the use of event studies in macroeconomics and finance, arguing that many important macro-finance questions can only be answered using event studies with high-frequency financial market data. We provide a broad picture of the use of event studies, along with their limitations. As...

This paper examines the influences of policy duration effects and quantitative monetary easing policy (QMEP) implemented by the Bank of Japan from 2001-2006 on economic growth toward future periods. We employed a simple equation with the term spread explaining economic growth, and obtained the...

The consumer price index stood at 0.7% in October 2014 (0.2% in September 2013), 0.5 p.p. higher than the value observed in August this year. Therefore, inflation increased to 8.0% on an annualized basis. The consumer price index reached 0.7% within the fi rst 20 days of October. On September 20...

In order to create an environment of low and stable inflation in Mexico it has been necessary to generate a framework for the conduction of monetary policy focused on preserving an environment of price stability along with fiscal discipline. In this context, this paper describes some structural...

Para crear un entorno de inflación baja y estable en México ha sido necesario generar un marco para la conducción de la política monetaria enfocado en preservar un ambiente de estabilidad de precios, junto con disciplina fiscal. En este contexto, este trabajo describe algunos logros...

This paper investigates whether U.S. government spending multipliers differ according to two potentially important features of the economy: (1) the amount of slack and (2) whether interest rates are near the zero lower bound. We shed light on these questions by analyzing new quarterly historical...

We use a broad set of Chinese economic indicators and a dynamic factor model framework to estimate Chinese economic activity and inflation as latent variables. We incorporate these latent variables into a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) to estimate the effects of Chinese monetary...

We develop a small open economy model with capital, sticky prices, and a simple form of financial frictions. We compare welfare levels under three alternative rules: a domestic inflation-based Taylor rule, a CPI inflation-based Taylor rule, and an exchange rate peg. We show that the superiority...

Public investment represents a non-negligible fraction of total public expenditures. Yet, theoretical studies of the effects of public spending when the economy is stuck in a liquidity trap invariably assume that government expenditures are entirely wasteful. In this paper, we consider a...