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We show the cost of trading on negative news, relative to positive news, increases before earnings announcements. Our evidence suggests this asymmetry is due to financial intermediaries reducing their exposure to announcement risks by providing liquidity asymmetrically. This asymmetry creates a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938031
This paper examines whether oil price shocks of different origin affect the price of carbon emission allowance traded under the European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS); leading to changes in aggregate and sector specific European equity returns. The results show that an unexpected oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865933
Using novel earnings calendar data, we show that firms' advanced scheduling of earnings announcement dates foreshadows their earnings news. Firms that schedule later-than-expected announcement dates subsequently announce worse news than those scheduling earlier-than-expected announcement dates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972886
We show that, in a frictionless and efficient market, an asset pricing model that better describes investors' behavior should better forecast stock index returns. We propose a dividend model that predicts, out-of-sample, 31.3% of the variation in annual dividend growth rates (1976-2015)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003708
We document a significant positive relation between earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns in the 10-day window before future earnings announcements. The average of risk-adjusted return differences between stocks with the highest earnings announcement idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009762
We perform the longest study of long-run reversal in commodity returns. Using a unique dataset of prices of 52 agricultural, industrial, and energy commodities, we examine the price behavior for the years 1265 to 2017. The findings reveal a strong and robust long-run reversal effect. The returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850441
We present resiliency as a measure of liquidity, and assess its relationship to expected returns. We establish a covariance-based measure, RES, that captures opening period resiliency and, using it, find a significant non-resiliency premium that ranges from 33 to 57 basis points per month. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851808
We zero in on the expected returns of long-short portfolios based on 120 stock market anomalies by accounting for (1) effective bid-ask spreads, (2) post-publication effects, and (3) the modern era of trading technology that began in the early 2000s. Net of these effects, the average anomaly's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853428
Described in Bauman and Jacobsen (2002) stock market anomaly still remains unexplained. In long time series and wide geographical spread research “Halloween effect” is significant on 19 amongst 73 markets, but also in 11 amongst 23 with long time series data. Data shows that abnormal returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051989
I investigate whether the relation between investor sentiment and profitable trading strategies is due to short sale constraints. I find that the average security in these strategies is not hard-to-short. Furthermore, the short leg does not appear to be harder to short or more overvalued than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026746