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This paper employs concepts from information theory to choosing the dimension of a data set. We propose a relative information measure connected to Kullback-Leibler numbers. By ordering the series of the data set according to the measure, we are able to obtain a subset of a data set that is most...
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Factor models can cope with many variables without running into scarce degrees of freedom problems often faced in a regression-based analysis. In this article we review recent work on dynamic factor models that have become popular in macroeconomic policy analysis and forecasting. By means of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061201
This paper attempts to find the possibilities of simplifying a multiple time series. We consider a dynamic factor model, Zt=i=1minfiXt-i+Gt, where Zt is a k-dimensional Gaussian stationary time series, Xt is an unobservable r-dimensional factor series (Kr) and t is a (K-r)-dimensional white...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075121
This paper addresses the poor performance of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in the estimation of low … estimation accuracy. Modestly increasing the noise level also accelerates convergence. A nowcasting exercise of euro area GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357888
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This paper employs concepts from information to choosing the dimension of a data set. We calculate relative measures of information in the data in terms of eigenvalues and derive criteria to determine the ‘optimal’ size of the data set, in particular whether an extra variable adds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014044140
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